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heading in the wrong direction...
As the world heads towards overshooting 1.5°C, reaching net zero remains essential but will not be enough to bring temperatures back down. Governments must accelerate emissions cuts while investing in adaptation, carbon removal and research into the risks of geoengineering. We’re heading past 1.5°C. Now we need a plan for what comes next [Nicholas Stern, a former chief economist of the World Bank (2000-03) and co-chair of the international High-Level Commission on Carbon Prices, is Professor of Economics and Government and Chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics and Political Science. He is a former chair of the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change.]
The world must now face up to the fact that the increase in average global temperatures will surpass 1.5° Celsius, the more ambitious of the 2015 Paris climate agreement’s targets. That means devising a plan for managing the consequences – by increasing our focus on adaptation, loss and damage, and geoengineering – while redoubling our efforts to cut greenhouse-gas (GHG) emissions. A sobering new report from the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) warns that even if governments deliver on all their existing climate pledges, global warming could reach 1.8°C later this century. Meanwhile, a continuation of current policies could produce warming of 2.6°C by 2100. Either way, overshooting 1.5°C will expose the world to serious costs, including more frequent and intense heatwaves and bouts of heavy rain in many places. It will also bring us closer to breaching climate thresholds (or ’tipping points’) beyond which lie far greater risks – such as destabilisation of the polar ice caps in Greenland and West Antarctica. While the poorest countries will continue to be hit earliest and hardest, this summer has demonstrated that even rich countries like the United Kingdom are not prepared for the climate-driven risks that are already materialising, let alone the risks that await us. Temperatures will rise, and the negative effects of climate change will continue to mount until global GHG emissions are reduced to net zero and atmospheric concentrations stop growing. As long as they are still rising, so will the costs to us all. The net-zero target follows from physics, not ideology. The effects of overshooting 1.5°C will require much larger investments in adaptation and resilience, ranging from higher sea defences to the development of more drought-resistant crop varieties. Such investment will become a much higher priority, and overall investment needs will become much greater than would have been the case had we met the Paris target. But there are limits to adaptation. Breaching major climate thresholds could lead to conditions so hostile that socio-economic development itself would be reversed, forcing hundreds of millions of people to move despite whatever adaptation measures are in place. The longer it takes us to reach net-zero emissions, the larger the costs will be. Minimising those costs will require more investment in rapidly cutting emissions through the deployment of renewables and electric vehicles, while making more rapid progress in hard-to-abate sectors such as maritime shipping and air travel. Although investment in the necessary technologies has been growing strongly, we still need a marked and sustained acceleration to phase out the polluting, inefficient practices that are making emissions rise further. Despite the International Energy Agency’s warning five years ago that limiting warming to 1.5°C would require that no new fossil fuel projects be launched, many producers have been expanding their exploitation of oil, gas and coal reserves. As a result, managing climate change will require stranding even more fossil-fuel infrastructure, creating a real cost for investors who have backed dirty energy over renewables. One must also acknowledge the high costs associated with depending on international hydrocarbon markets. The competition for fossil fuels drives violent conflict, and price volatility has repeatedly caused severe economic crises. And yet, in most of the world, clean energy is now cheaper than dirty alternatives. Investing in clean, efficient technologies and infrastructure offers developing countries the chance to generate strong, sustainable and resilient economic growth while cutting emissions. Nonetheless, the UNEP report points out that reversing the 1.5°C overshoot will require us to go beyond net zero to achieve negative emissions, meaning we will eventually need to remove much more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere than we add. Though we can and should expand natural carbon sinks, including forests, these are unlikely to offer the total capacity we will need. Closing the remaining gap therefore will require greater investment in artificial methods of extracting and storing billions of tonnes of atmospheric CO2. We should also examine carefully the potential of other geoengineering solutions, including those designed to reduce the total amount of solar energy reaching the Earth’s surface. Further research is needed, however, because these options come with significant risks and ethical implications. For example, cooling the planet while leaving high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere would acidify our oceans, with potentially dangerous consequences. The next few decades will be challenging. There will be many opportunities for investment and growth, but also serious dangers, owing to our hitherto slow response to the risks of climate change. We must come to grips with our new reality before we blow past yet another dangerous threshold. https://johnmenadue.com/post/2026/09/were-heading-past-1-5c-now-we-need-a-plan-for-what-comes-next/
PLEASE VISIT: YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005. Gus Leonisky POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951. RABID ATHEIST. WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….
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YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.
Gus Leonisky
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RABID ATHEIST.
WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….
coalition panned....
Peter Hannam
Coalition panned after vowing to scrap renewable, EV and climate policiesThe Coalition has unveiled plans to scrap Australia’s legislated climate targets, industrial emissions rules and vehicle efficiency standards, while reopening the door to nuclear power. It promises cheaper, more reliable energy – but has yet to show how its proposed changes would deliver lower bills.
A Coalition government has vowed to detonate most of Australia’s efforts to decarbonise its economy “within 30 days” of winning power, including stymying the advance of renewable energy, supporting nuclear power plants and scrapping the emissions-curbing industrial policy it introduced into law.
Dan Tehan, the energy and emissions reduction spokesperson, said in a media release on Wednesday that “Australians are sick of being lectured to about the energy transition. What they want to hear is how energy will be made cheaper.”
“For the last four and a half years, energy policy has been driven by ideology, political targets and government picking winners rather than by the basic realities of keeping the lights on and Australian businesses competitive,” Tehan said.
The Scrap Net Zero (Cheaper Energy) policy, which sets out eight ways a Coalition government would “take a chainsaw” to Labor’s policies, has provoked immediate outrage across industry and green groups, and been variously decried as “a brain fart” and a “breathtaking act of economic self-harm”.
The centrepiece of the Coalition’s plans would be to repeal the Climate Change Act 2022, and in doing so, remove the legislated net zero emissions targets – and presumably the 2030 target and the recently announced interim target of 62–70 per cent below 2005 levels by 2035.
The safeguard mechanism would also go, ditching an architecture to reduce carbon emissions by big industrial polluters that the Abbott Coalition government legislated in 2014. The Albanese government later amended the act to give it some bite, and is expected to release its response to a review of the scheme early next year.
“The safeguard mechanism imposes costs on Australia’s productive industries which has driven jobs offshore reducing our manufacturing capacity and led to massive industry assistance programs to prop up some industries,” Tehan said in his release.
Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen said the Coalition’s plan would “take a chainsaw to the economy and household budgets”.
“It will make Australia poorer, weaker and less secure from global shocks,” Bowen said in a statement. “Their plan to stop renewables and household batteries, and sweat coal, would mean Aussie households are left to pick up the bill of global shocks.”
“Under the Coalition, 24 out of 28 coal-fired power stations announced their closure, 4 gigawatts of dispatchable energy left the grid [and] four refineries closed,” he said, adding that current Opposition Leader Angus Taylor’s failed Underwriting New Generation Investments scheme “didn’t deliver a single watt of new energy”.
On other plans, a Coalition government would also seek to revoke four offshore wind energy zones across the Hunter, Illawarra, Southern Ocean, and Bunbury regions. Tehan said there was “no social licence and no community acceptance” for them.
Left intact would be the offshore wind zones off Victoria’s Gippsland and the Tasmania coasts, presumably because the Victorian opposition and the Tasmanian Liberal government presently support them.
Also ditched would be the Albanese government’s New Vehicle Efficiency Standard Act of 2024 that Tehan said had “impacted on vehicle choice and pricing in the Australian automotive sector”.
“Australia should have an energy system built around three non-negotiable principles: affordability, reliability and security,” Tehan said. “Everything else should be secondary.”
The only nod towards reducing emissions would be a renewed push to support nuclear energy, despite the unpopularity of this policy when proposed by former Coalition leader Peter Dutton in the run-up to the 2025 federal elections. A Coalition government would seek to repeal all legislative prohibitions on the energy source.
“Nuclear energy is emissions free and can provide a constant source of electricity to power industry, data centres and meet the future energy demands that renewables cannot meet and for when coal capacity is reduced,” Tehan said.
The Coalition plans come as the two biggest states by population, Victoria and NSW, prepare to go to the polls in November and March, respectively. The Coalition opposition in both those states has sought to reverse course on some of the pro-renewable energy plans in those jurisdictions.
The oppositions – whether at state or federal level – will have to explain how their policies will actually lower energy prices and meet “affordability” goals, since solar and wind, backed up by storage, have repeatedly been shown to be cheaper than alternatives by the CSIRO and commercial entities themselves.
Tehan said a federal Coalition government would redirect the Australian Energy Regulator “to have primary regard to affordability and reliability which will put households and businesses at the centre of regulatory decision-making”.
Emissions, however, have to be factored into power plans according to the national electricity laws. Any effort to excise that requirement could be blocked by a single state or territory.
Tehan’s push to dismiss climate policies in general comes as Australia – and much of the world – braces for the impacts of a monster and record-breaking El Niño in the Pacific.
The event, likely enhanced by warming sea-surface temperatures because of global heating, may well result in drought and severe bushfires in the coming summer. Parts of Indonesia and Papua New Guinea are already experiencing weather extremes.
Prosecuting such policy reversals may become more challenging in the months to come for Tehan and the rest of the conservative right.
As Renew Economy noted here, One Nation intends to demand a royal commission into the cost of the energy transition, a figure that varies between $900 billion and $1 trillion. The Coalition’s plans may be aimed at dealing the Liberals and Nationals into the climate and energy debate.
The Australian Conservation Foundation’s head of political advocacy, Gavan McFadzean, said the Coalition had “basically declared it has no climate policy”.
“You can’t be anti-renewables and pro-energy reliability, because renewables with storage is the most reliable and affordable form of energy, while nuclear is the most expensive and would need to be publicly funded,” McFadzean said.
“To commit to slow the renewables transition is a breathtaking act of economic self-harm that would increase climate pollution and abandon jobs and investment in the future low-carbon economy,” he said.
“The Coalition is essentially deserting households that want to lower their cost of living and carbon footprint by embracing renewable energy.”
Climate Council chief executive Amanda McKenzie described Tehan’s announcement as a “brain fart of a policy” that will send power bills through the roof. “Propping up clapped-out coal plants will add hundreds of dollars to household bills. Then there’s the eye-wateringly expensive hundreds of billions for a nuclear fantasy on top,” McKenzie said.
Indeed, relying on coal plants extending their lives – as Queensland proposes – may increase the likelihood of breakdowns as equipment ages.
“In a world that is increasingly volatile, the Coalition’s plan to increase Australia’s reliance on foreign oil and limit Australians’ access to more efficient vehicles would make us more vulnerable to future global shocks,” McKenzie added.
“This is a recipe for more insecure and costly energy and transport – it makes no sense at all.”
Independent member for Kooyong, Dr Monique Ryan, dubbed the Coalition’s plan “dumb, dangerous, and desperate climate denial which would make energy more expensive and unreliable”.
“Australians have embraced clean energy because it works. We’ve spent years investing in rooftop solar, electric vehicles, household batteries, and home electrification because these technologies save money and reduce emissions,” Ryan said.
“The Liberals’ retrograde attempt to appease the Nationals and woo One Nation voters would drag the country backwards.”
Farmers for Climate Action, a group representing more than 8,000 farmers across Australia, said it was “deeply disappointed” with the Coalition’s “crazy” plans.
“You can’t say you’re looking after farmers while you axe pollution reduction policies, when we know more pollution means more fires and droughts, more climate change, and higher insurance costs,” said Peter Holding, a Harden sheep and crop farmer and FCA spokesperson.
Tim Buckley, director of think tank Climate Energy Finance and a former managing director of global investment bank Citigroup, said “this iteration of the Coalition’s energy policy pamphlet belongs in the bin fire with every previous iteration”.
“This will make the 2028 federal election yet another referendum on whether Australia will stay in alignment with the global consensus of the Paris Agreement and the climate science,” Buckley said.
“This alignment is imperative to ensure Australia’s energy security and prosperity in the emerging net-zero world economy.”
Renew Economy contacted Tehan’s office to clarify whether the Coalition’s latest policies implied a plan to pull Australia out of the Paris agreement.
Republished from Renew Economy
https://johnmenadue.com/post/2026/09/coalition-panned-after-vowing-to-scrap-renewable-ev-and-climate-policies/
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PLEASE VISIT:
YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT — SINCE 2005.
Gus Leonisky
POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.
RABID ATHEIST.
WELCOME TO THIS INSANE WORLD….